For example, a county might be said to be a "bellwether county" if it consistently votes the same way as the majority of the state. The bellwether scores map highlights the fact that many states have a good bellwether county or two, even if they did not make the list of the nineteen counties which have always voted for the winning candidate, they said. We need jobs up here, good-paying full-time jobs, she added. Jeff Myers, a lifelong Vigo County resident in Riley, on the other hand, wont let the big events of the day, such as riots and the pandemic, determine his vote. And just a few miles outside the countys urban center of Terre Haute, youll find a sprawl of soybean and corn farms, with a rural demographic that often leans Republican. People are so worked up about it all the time, stressed out. Fitch, who grew up in foster homes and went on to put himself through college, has owned and run the Summit Fireside Lodge and Grill for 32 years. This includes personalizing content and advertising. I trust the system implicitly, he said. Over the same time period, Democrat registrations have dipped from 9,526 to 7,576. Eleven of the 19 were located in just six Midwestern states, and Wisconsin alone is home to four, they said. Just two have populations in excess of 100,000, the authors said. He says hes going to vote for the lesser of two evils.. Even Heidi Mackey, the clerk inside the station who said she hasnt voted since 2018, said shell likely vote in the May 3 primary. Portman wont be seeking reelection; seven Republicans are competing in the primary election for the partys nomination: Matt Dolan, Mike Gibbons, Josh Mandel, Neil Patel, Mark Pukita, Jane Timken, and J.D. The counties are also mostly small and rural. The Epoch Times spoke with some voters in Terre Haute and surrounding towns on Oct. 20 to get a glimpse of the bellwether mood ahead of the presidential election. Rob Portmans seat, Coppeler said. Jason Armagost of Mudbeards Bikes and Boards has chosen to stay out of politics and doesnt vote. Martin thinks the Democrats could have chosen a better candidate than Biden. Articles after the 2020 election examining the predictive power of previous bellwethers are found in other sources, including the Wall Street Journal and the Epoch Times. However, in the 2020 primary election, more Democrats had turned out to vote3,413 to 2,598 Republicans, usually an indicator of how the presidential election is going to go, party officials believe. He said hes concerned but hopeful for the future. It doesnt matter whether you are a Republican or a Democrat, youre going to get a crook. We have to stand and fight for the constitution our forefathers created. This is a high farming community.. Its been a long time since we were fully staffed with 35 cooks. Since Trump got voted in, it was when I started getting into politics, Tisdell told The Epoch Times while sitting in his garage. Unfortunately, however, neither of the reasons for why we might think that previous bellwethers will continue to be bellwethers is valid. Previously, he covered national topics including politics, economy, education, and law enforcement. The upper Midwest, upstate New York, and northern New England are home to a disproportionate share of high-scoring counties, they said. Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020 Teresa Shepherd, resident of the Indiana bellwether county of Vigo, in front of her daughter's house in Seelyville, Ind., on Oct. 20,. We need to make sure we keep our gun rights.. Former President Trump and his supporters continue to loudly assert that he really won the 2020 election even though all the alleged direct evidence of fraud has not passed the sniff test of local courts, including those with Republican judges. Epoch Times, Gateway Pundit, and EveryLegalVote.com show a different electoral vote count for two reasons: They exclude states with pending litigation or recounts, subtracting votes from. Edie Martin is struggling to get her diner back in the black after being closed for almost three months over the pandemic. He said hes had trouble getting a job for much of his life, because he was found guilty of a felony drug offense as a young man. Hawker said although Ottawa County tends to lean more Republican, he has noticed that a lot of senior citizens who are Democrats have moved into the area. However, the political viewpoints of its residents are mixed as they have become more wary and leery of the government. The median household annual income is approximately, In 2016, nearly 100 million eligible Americans didnt vote. A 75-year-old retiree who owned a transportation and logistics business didnt want to be named and told The Epoch Times hes been skeptical of government since he was 30. Just two have populations in excess of 100,000, the authors said. Of the 19 bellwether counties that have consistently voted for the presidential winner since 1980, all but one chose Trump, the Journal found, PJ Media reported. The 19 bellwethers tend to be poorer, whiter, older, and less educated than the rest of the country, according to an August paper by researchers from the University of Denver and the University of New Hampshire. The United States needs to get back to where were responsible, energy independent, and get away from the thought process of these liberal socialists in office., Government is out of control, he added. It hurts the older people like me who are on a fixed income.. Charlotte Cuthbertson is a senior reporter with The Epoch Times who primarily covers border security and the opioid crisis. Bernard Grofman is Distinguished Professor of Political Science and Jack W. Peltason Chair of Democracy Studies at the University of California, Irvine. I got a life. Just like a hurricane, you can try to prepare for it the best you can, but you never know what kind of damage it is going to cause. But what would be striking is for it to end so radically. One major planned project in Wood County pulled outPeloton, an exercise bike and interactive exercise equipment manufacturer. Today, there are also 14,183 independents registered to vote and five libertarians, according to the Ottawa Countys Board of Elections website. People need to get a job, get out and work. March 1, 2022 Updated: March 3, 2022 Print It could be said that Ottawa County is one of the top bellwether counties in Ohio, if not the country. Myerss morals include being respectful to others, and he thinks Trump has failed in that regard. The strongest bellwether counties are those that back the winning candidate in all elections. What are they going to do about gun rights? he said. He likes how the Democratic Party helps lower-income people. The 19 bellwether counties are highlighted in red. Its just not that great, Paul said. What you need to know, summarized in one email. But thats not the picture I look at. July 4, 2022 bellwether counties epoch timesdid benjamin franklin help write the declaration of independencedid benjamin franklin help write the declaration of independence In 2016, Pennsylvania itself was wrenched out of its 24-year run as a Democratic sure bet when Donald Trump cleared just over 44,000 more votes than Hillary Clinton and took the states prized 20 electoral votes. We have so many units that need to be repaired and we cant get the parts. But its still anyones game when taking into account the 1.2 million unaffiliated or other-party voters and the roughly 70 percent voter turnout. On . Right now, its horrible. The 2012 outcome seemed to be the beginning of a more robust shift to the right for the countywhile the state reelected Obama, Elk County had already moved on. For example, across seven elections, we would expect to see 28 bellwether counties. Those who believe that Donald Trump won the 2020 presidential election have held up his victories in many bellwether counties as evidence of electoral fraud. Miller is often faced with tough decisions in his business. He soon lost his car, because he fell behind on license plate fees. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. This year, after seeing the country shut down amid the pandemic, and seeing riots break out in many cities, I just think its time that I should start voting, she said. We live in an evenly divided nation, and the past five presidential elections demonstrate that well with their extremely close outcomes, Bergbower, an associate professor at Indiana State University, said in an email to The Epoch Times. We and the rest of the states boards of elections have been directed by the Ohio Secretary of States Office to hold the election on May 3. We have become so divided. Things happen for a reason, and its out of our control until things change, Brendon told The Epoch Times. I cannot support a candidate that is not pro-life. Pro-life is one of the top items on his list of issues. Of Wood Countys 92,119 registered voters, 9,479 of them are Democrats, 8,315 are Republicans, and 74,240 are independents, according to numbers from the Board of Elections. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Peoples common sense level is cooked. Yet unofficial vote counts now show Biden in the lead and with enough electoral votes to claim the presidency. Theres too much mishandling, she said. At 6:30 pm we kick off an evening that showcases and celebrates Ukrainian arts and culture. Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020. Ron DeSantis, Miller said he likes Gov. Paul hopes that one day he can save enough money to buy himself a car, so he can drive to Florida and reunite with his family. Westmoreland is the only one of the counties in the South, Clallam is the only one on the West Coast, and Hidalgo and Valencia are the only counties in the Mountain West. Nothing is free, Hawker said. Thats part of what has made it an effective bellwether, at least in recent decades, he said. When Republican Dr. Ted Bowlus defeated Democrat Joel Kuhlman in the 2016 election, it completed a single-party commission. And the media is just taking it overboard., Shepherd said of Trump: I do know that he is not a selfish person. He doesnt take the money; hes got the money. Terry Titchner, 70, said hes voting for Biden because he doesnt trust Trump. With the price of gas going up, Zulch is afraid of a return to high fuel prices caused by Hurricane Katrina in Louisiana 16 years ago and that soaring costs will again hurt his business. Getting fertilizer can be a challenge.. Demographically, the bellwether counties tended to be whiter, older, less educated, have lower median incomes, have a lower percentage of workers in the labor force, and have higher rates of vacant housing than the country as a whole. In West Terre Haute, across the Wabash River from Terre Haute, Bobby Tisdell, a 38-year-old forklift driver, plans to cast his first vote on Election Day. Jim was awarded the Reed Irvine Accuracy in . There were lines of boaters with banners and flagsthere mustve been about 2,000 boats full of people participating, Tammy added. As for the pandemic, he doesnt think Trump has done a bad job on that. Please read our comments policy before commenting. Many counties in states that have reliably voted for one party for many cycles are home to counties which have almost always voted for the winner of the election; for example, South Carolina has two strong bellwether counties despite being a reliably Republican state, and California has a number of strong bellwethers in its central valley despite being a reliably Democratic state.. As part of The Epoch Times Association, Inc., a nonprofit organization we stand outside of political interests and the pursuit of profit, to educate readers about today's most critical issues . There are three counties that voted with the eventual winner for each of the past 10 elections,. For much of the last decade, historically Republican suburban areas in Franklin, Ohio,. But, he said, he also doesnt complain. He says Democratic Gov. Right after we saw the results of the election and that Trump had lost, we were all like, what the hell?, said Tammy, a bartender at Wee Willys Sports Pub in Marblehead. I think a lot of us are fighting against socialism. Overall, the county is in good shape, and has a lot going for it.. We need election reform.. Logistics are a nightmare, Miller said. You have to take the lesser of two evils. We need to address the economy and safety and security, Hawker said. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Thats probably the biggest fear right now when I talk to people. Vance. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. It swung from Barack Obama in 2012 to Donald Trump in 2016, and political science professor Matthew Bergbower says its something akin to a purple county.. . Nothing has changed regarding the date of the May 3 primary election, Baumgardner said. Sawyer County, Wisconsin, and Clallam County, Washington, have substantial Native American populations, the authors said. But not only are bellwethers not really predictors of future success, the likelihood of finding long streaks of prior predictive success has gone down. In particular, recent research which identified nineteen bellwether counties found that they tended to be whiter, older, less educated, have lower median incomes, have a lower percentage of workers in the labor force, and have higher rates of vacant housing than the country as a whole. These counties also disproportionately came from the Midwest and the Northeast. The unhappiness and unsatisfactory conditions have spread similar to the way COVID-19 has, a truck driver by the name of Sam, who also was at Wee Willys, told The Epoch Times. Part of his route is driving up to Detroit and Flint, Michigan, every day. In particular, recent research which identified nineteen bellwether counties found that they "tended to be whiter, older, less educated, have lower median incomes, have a lower percentage of workers in the labor force, and have higher rates of vacant housing than the country as a whole." The registered Republican voters (8,455) outnumber the registered Democrats (6,731) in Ottawa County. I dont listen to the news. I have not seen any division like this [before]., I believe that is because of our current president, so my main issue is that he does not stay president.. The Republican has been a big supporter of water quality on Lake Erie, and were looking to get another candidate that sees that as a priority.. He isnt happy that Biden called Trump names during the first debate. Thats a highly Democratic area, but people see whats going on and theyre not happy, Sam said. Where there used to be eight auto plants in Wayne County now there is only one, the GMC Truck plant, he said. His message to Trump is: Shut up and quit twittering. I believe in what they call entitlement programs, Hamilton said. While declining to say which political party he supports or how he votes, he told The Epoch Times that he used to work at the Frickers in Findlay, which is south of Bowling Green, but transferred to his current location last year because of the high price of gas. But according to the. I think everyone has the same opinion that things arent good.. Shortages are all over the place, Miller said. Ive got opinions, but I just dont voice them, I keep to myself, he said, adding that its better for business. Many counties in states that have reliably voted for one party for many cycles are home to counties which have almost always voted for the winner of the election; for example, South Carolina has two strong bellwether counties despite being a reliably Republican state, and California has a number of strong bellwethers in its central valley despite being a reliably Democratic state..
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